Live · Updated Mar 19, 2026, 3:08 AM

The smartest way to find your edge.

PropEdge runs AI models on thousands of player data points every day to surface the highest-edge prop bets — ranked, scored, and ready.

79% Win Rate

4 Picks Today

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Top Pick Today

Brandon Miller

Pts+Asts OVER 21.5

22.4%

Edge Score

Projected23.9

Win Prob80%

SignalAI Model

ORL @ CHA · Thu, Mar 19, 4:00 PM PDT

✓ Grant Williams OVER 0.5 Assists → Actual: 2 · +$20

✓ Darius Garland OVER 7.5 Rebs+Asts → Actual: 12 · +$20

✓ LaMelo Ball OVER 9.5 Rebs+Asts → Actual: 19 · +$20

✓ Brandon Miller OVER 0.5 Steals → Actual: 1 · +$20

✓ Kris Dunn OVER 0.5 Steals → Actual: 1 · +$20

✓ Grant Williams OVER 0.5 Assists → Actual: 2 · +$20

✓ Darius Garland OVER 7.5 Rebs+Asts → Actual: 12 · +$20

✓ LaMelo Ball OVER 9.5 Rebs+Asts → Actual: 19 · +$20

✓ Brandon Miller OVER 0.5 Steals → Actual: 1 · +$20

✓ Kris Dunn OVER 0.5 Steals → Actual: 1 · +$20

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Edge Scoring

Every pick is assigned an edge score based on how far the AI projection deviates from the line. Only picks with meaningful edge are shown.

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AI Signal Model

Our model is trained on historical player performance, matchup data, and line movement to generate daily projections with high accuracy.

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Track Record

Track simulated bets across 291+ picks to see real historical performance before you ever risk a dollar.

How PropEdge Works

PropEdge analyzes thousands of player data points from ESPN game logs every day. Our statistical model uses Normal CDF probability distributions, Monte Carlo simulations with 10,000 weighted samples, and exponential decay weighting to project player performance. We compare these projections against PrizePicks lines to find edges where the true probability significantly exceeds the break-even threshold.

The system covers NBA, NHL, and MLB player props including points, rebounds, assists, goals, shots on goal, hits, home runs, and dozens of other stat types. Each pick shows the model's win probability, historical hit rate, edge percentage, and Kelly Criterion bet sizing. Our AI Parlay of the Day automatically selects the highest-probability combination optimized for consistent wins.

Every pick is paper-traded and resolved against real ESPN box scores. Our track record is fully transparent — 291+ picks tracked with a 79% win rate. The system learns from its own results through a feedback loop that adjusts future predictions based on what actually works.

The smartest way to find your edge.

Edge Scoring

AI Signal Model

Track Record

How PropEdge Works

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